Thesis
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Humanoid Supply Chain

Humanoid robots go mainstream by 2030. The winners are the companies supplying motion control, sensors and compute, not the robot makers.

1Y +54.1%
Since published −0.2%
1Y ago Today

Holdings

  1. NVIDIA NVDA · Compute 18%

    Its Jetson hardware and Isaac/GR00T software are the default stack for training and running humanoid models, so it collects from every robot maker at once.

  2. Teradyne, Inc. TER · Direct beneficiary 14%

    Owns Universal Robots and MiR, giving it real collaborative-robot distribution alongside its semiconductor test business.

  3. The Timken TKR · Picks & shovels 12%

    Bearings, precision gearing (Cone Drive) and linear motion (Rollon) are the mechanical content every joint needs.

  4. Analog Devices ADI · Picks & shovels 12%

    Motor control, precision sensing and power chips sit in every actuator and sensor module.

  5. Tesla TSLA · Robot maker 12%

    The most aggressive public humanoid program, with in-house actuators and the manufacturing scale to push unit costs down.

  6. Cognex CGNX · Perception 10%

    Industrial vision is how robots find and handle parts on a factory floor; Cognex is a pure play on it.

  7. ON Semiconductor ON · Picks & shovels 8%

    Power semiconductors for motor drives and image sensors for robot vision.

  8. Rockwell Automation ROK · Enabler 8%

    Controls and software that integrate robots into production lines, the step that turns pilots into fleets.

  9. Amphenol APH · Picks & shovels 6%

    Connectors and cable assemblies scale with the number of joints, sensors and boards per robot.

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